What El Niño Could Mean for You This Summer
Uptown Business Association
October 7, 2026
El Niño is a naturally occurring climate pattern that affects weather around the world, including here in New Zealand.
It occurs when sea temperatures in parts of the Pacific Ocean become warmer than usual, influencing rainfall, temperatures and wind patterns across many countries.
An El Niño weather pattern has now been officially confirmed by Earth Sciences New Zealand. Early forecasts suggest
New Zealand could experience one of its hottest and driest summers in recent years, with conditions expected to continue until April/ May 2027.
While warmer weather may sound appealing, El Niño can bring a range of risks that you should be aware of.
What are the risks?
Fire risk
Hot, dry conditions combined with strong winds can increase the likelihood of fires and help them spread more quickly. Stay up to date with advice from Fire and Emergency New Zealand.
Heat risk
Warmer-than-average temperatures can increase the risk of heat exhaustion and other heat-related illnesses, particularly for older adults, young children and those with existing health conditions. Health New Zealand provides guidance on staying safe in hot weather.
Drought risk
Reduced rainfall can increase the risk of drought and put pressure on water supplies. Water conservation may become increasingly important if dry conditions persist. Get advice from Ministry of Primary Industries or Watercare.
Severe weather risk
Although El Niño is often associated with dry weather, it can also bring periods of severe weather, including strong winds and storms.
What can you do?
The best way to prepare is to plan ahead.
- Know the risks in your area.
- Create or update your household emergency plan.
- Check emergency supplies and make sure they are ready if needed.
- Stay informed through trusted weather and emergency management channels.
Whether you're spending time at Basque Park, exploring Uptown's shops and eateries, or simply enjoying the summer sunshine, a little preparation can help you make the most of the season while staying safe.
Click here for the latest advice and guidance on preparing for El Niño.
